‘The Little Brake Pedal That Couldn’t’

Its pronounced ‘About four thirds megabytes.’

… Even assuming the self driving tech was actually capable of doing this, which is won’t be…

How would this even make any sense?

Ok, if you live within about 200 to 300 miles of a Tesla factory, … you have this option?

Fremont, California; Sparks, Nevada; Austin, Texas; Buffalo, New York; Lathrop, California.

Outside of 250 miles ish of one of those places? No self driving delivery for you.

… And I am pretty surr not all models are made at all those locations.

Despite long ago claiming his EVs and charger network would be capable of automatically recharging or battery swapping themselves… to make a long distance journey… that … doesn’t exist, he abandoned all of that.

Even funnier: Imagine a tesla self driving from the as of yet to be completed gigafactory in Monterrey Mexico… through the border checkpoint.

The auto charger network doesn’t exist, the car would murder people, cause an accident or fucking explode in the border queue… and even if none of that happened… how in the fuck is a self driving car gonna get through a militarized border crossing?

If he just gives himself a waiver via DOGE for his cars… congrats Elon, you are now a drug trafficker / arms smuggler, whether you know it or not.

… fucking lunacy.

… Yeah…

Ironically, the last job I had… before becoming homeless…

Was the Co-Lead of the Data Team… for Mary’s Place, the largest non profit network of shelters and other programs … assisting the homeless… in and near Seattle.

About 24hrs after the assault that crippled me, I dragged myself into the main office… for a sandwich.

They handed me my papers on the spot.

I told the HR guy to go fuck himself, as he was crying.

… Fuck Seattle, at this point.

They are almost certainly still using my databases, my online, public facing intake forms, my process flows and documentation…

Anyway, I was literally the expert on exactly how fucked I was, as a single white cis male, in terms of getting housing or shelter assistance in Seattle.

We shared at least shelter capacity and eligibility info with almost every other shelter in or near Seattle… and almost all of them prioritize families, minorities and/or female domestic abuse victims.

Made more sense to head pretty far east to lower CoL areas and stay in roach motels than to drag my crippled ass around trying to find a working path to housing, given how often I was being mugged, assaulted, held hostage by a psychotic fentanyl addict for a week at one point, missed being shot in a drive by by about 100 feet at one point…

Anyway, all our the widely publicized PIT headcounts of homeless people in any given city or nationwide… basically need to be multiplied by about 4 or 5. So that’d be about 3 to 4 million, not the almost 800k of the last nationwide PIT count.

If you compare the demographics of living situations people are in who requested our help… to the demographics of who actually gets counted by those PIT count methodologies…

Yeah, you need to multiply the PIT count by roughly 4 or 5 to make it actually representative of all the people who are requesting help, but are not counted by the PIT.

… And that will easily balloon up to 10, 20+ million … fuck, probably within a year from right now given how utterly fucked the economy is about to become, and how many governement assistsnce programs are getting cut.

…

But uh, back to things I can now just laugh at…

yeah, Boeing is fucked. They were fucked before the tariffs, and now they are turbofucked, and all the right wing anti union asshats that work for them will just retreat further into delusion and a sense of enraged, denied entitlement as they all get exactly what their AM talk show radio hosts have told them they want for 30+ years.

… and of course who can forget about the liberal tinged, smug, self serving, fake ass corpo tech shitheels who all don’t realize they’re basically dressed down Patrick Batemans because they go to Pride marches… yeah, a whole lot of them are fucked as well as they get laid off, their 2nd and 3rd homes can’t generate AirBnB rents anymore…

Oh no, who could have forseen that working for giant tech megacorps that have explicitly stated they want to automate everything for 20 years… are now automating their own jobs, and that they are not actually special?

…

I dunno if I qualify as a rags to riches tale…

I got maybe halfway through that article before I had to stop.

… Too similar to what I went through, too … way too similar. Its not just that basically no one gives a fuck about it, its that almost everyone assumes the absolute worst about you, all the time, unless you ‘perform’ perfectly for them.

I was recently diagnosed with PTSD. I actually cannot handle reliving, or apparently even reading about those experiences.

They fill me with rage and terror.

Make me double check and make sure my knife is in the spot it ‘lives in’ in my motel room.

…

The teeth thing is real. Somehow I have been insanely lucky with baffling infection resitant teeth… I have never had a cavity in my entire life, despite literally being homeless for over a year.

But I’ve seen the immense agony of other homeless people with bad teeth. Seen people bite into a sandwich and 2 1/2 broken teeth come out in bits…

… Seen people with fucking gangrene, massively infected feet and other wounds…

… For a while I was able to trade my rudimentary first aid skills for respect, cigarettes and food, became kind of a defacto medic at some encampments and shelters I ended up at.

Seen people OD and die in front of me, stumbled upon the bodies in the back alleys, either OD’d or beaten or stabbed or shot to death.

… I can’t believe I survived it. I can’t make sense of why I did.

… Just a skinny, out of shape, Autistic tech dork, streets should have eaten me alive.

… At least I was able to eventually get connected to Physical Therapy, and … not a very good one, but at least at newbie Social Worker.

Solid Snake may wanna go over the basics of CQC… I wanna go back over the basics of CBT.

Physical Therapist has me in aquatherapy. Too many torn and otherwise fucked up ligaments in too many places, have to have the bouyancy and water resistsnce to do any useful stretches without extreme pain.

… sorry. rambling. yay trauma.

Ah, my west side bias is showing, oops.

I’ve travelled over the Cascades many times, but only really spent basically vacations or weekend trips actually out in Spokane or the Tri Cities.

Tacoma is where a bunch of the hipsters I knew went in the early to mid 2010s… but now it has largely … gentrified, and also crime and drug addiction and homelessness is now much more visible.

After I got assaulted, I ended up homeless untill the SSDI kicked in, a good part of that in Tacoma, and jesus fucking christ fentanyl addicts are basically fucking zombies, nearly got killed by a few.

But yeah, basically all of WA is just… way way way too fucking expensive to live in, unless you, individually, make at least 6 figures… and the job market for getting that kind of job is pulling in candidates from literally the entire world, competition is insane, nepotism abounds, basically all tech work treats you like or literally as a contract worker unless you have massive connections or got grandfathered in a decade or more ago.

Also Boeing is definitely gonna get fucking wrecked from retaliatory tariffs… there was already a story in the last 24 hours of a Chinese airline returning a recently delivered 737 Max because the Chinese ret. tariffs applied to it.

Just fucking flew it back to Boeing Field even after their local plant in China had just finished putting the Chinese airline’s livery on it, fuck it, nope, return it, too expensive.

It doesn’t matter how progressive WA is generally… untill it gets a state income tax, it’ll be a playground for corpos and rainbow capitalism.

My current plan is to … well, hope to god that my SSDI doesn’t get massively curtailed or cancelled, keep doing physical therapy and living off of soup and trail mix untill I’ve built up some savings (all my fucking cards got stolen, years later i am still trying to convince all the credit agencies that I am me and 90% of the rung up CC debt was not me)… and then move on up to Minnesota.

Minneapolis/St.Paul is roughly the same population as … the actual population that lives in Seattle, and just generally, way more affordable, not as solid blue, but decently so… and the risks from accelerating climate change are actually significantly lower than most of WA.

They’ve got more effective state based rental … basically tax relief for low income people, you get a subsidy each tax year cycle that offsets some of your rental costs, SNAP (if it still exists) will go further…

… and their apartments actually have heating and AC, unlike a large chunk of PNW apartments… that fucking heat dome a few years back nearly killed me.

3 days, 72 hours straight of no less than 90 degrees indoors, up to 105, even with space blankets and then blackout curtains to try to keep the sun out… had to just keep taking cold showers… and I still ended up sweating out nearly 10 pounds.

Anyway, if I can get to the point I am not in constant pain, I am just gonna try my hand at making my own videogame, solo.

If it works out as a decent revenue stream, hurray! If not? Don’t really care, I got absolutely chewed up and abused by the corpo data analyst jobs I worked, I’d rather firebomb their offices than go back to a similar job, I would literally rather be impoverished and at least mentally sound than have to deal with the hyper gaslighting corpo tech culture anymore.

Going out on a limb here, but I’m guessing you are describing either Bellingham or Everett (or their sort of… basically attached, suburb cities)… in which case, my condolences, I’ve lived in both rofl.

I hear Tacoma finally stopped smelling like farts all the time somewhat recently…

But yeah, all the ‘medium sized’ PNW cities are absurdly overpriced now.

I ended up getting assaulted and seriously injurrd… and am living off of SSDI while recovering… many states away, where a person can actually rent a place off of disability alone.

Its not me doing the wishing or future predicting here.

It is Zillow.

They have the largest, most comprehensive, and most frequently updated database of information on US home prices… basically, in existence.

They are saying you are wrong.

Not me.

Worth noting that the -1.7% figure is … nationwide, amalgamated.

There will be areas that keep appreciating, areas that stay flat… but many, many more areas that will depreciate.

Jesus fuck it broke through 38k when I was taking a piss, oh boy…

Glad you agree!

=)

Also I just realized we both assumed Libra is a he.

Whoops!

Hopefully he doesn’t drive up inflation so much that it cancels out the 15-40% drops we’ll see in home prices.

Well uh… unfortunately:

So thats about an 11% devaluation of the dollar since start of the year, where the dxy is an index based on the volume of currencies exhanged for the USD.

And uh… yeah, we … actually still need to import a lot of shit… so… uh…that line looks pretty steep down, not done sinking yet…

Fucking, who knows?

Oops, God Emperor Trump turned out to be a false Messiah, and is actually somehow a thrall of all the Chaos Gods simultaneously.

He probably meant that it almost never goes down in nominal, ie, non inflation adjusted terms, yoy.

What you have posted is:

1. Not actual nominal prices, it is the case-schiller index, which is calculated with different weighting and methods than Zillow is using.

2. This is inflation adjusted, real values, again, not nominal prices.

3. Looks like this is a data point at each month, when we are talking about blocking out and aggregating entire years and representing them as one data point.

When looking at more granular data, you’re more likely to see more movement. When you’re looking at less granular data… a projected yoy decline is a much bigger deal.

Thats a lot of words to say: You are not doing an apples to apples comparison.

That would look like this:

Apologies for whipping up this shit tier graph from FRED, im on a shitty phone.

Orange or Rust is actual nominal prices, blocked out year by year.

Blue is the nominal change in yearly prices, I would have liked to made it a centered % change graph in the middle, but FRED doesnt do that in its web renderer.

But you can still see any time the blue is… below zero.

And that is, historically, pretty rare, only happening in 7 (or 8?) years of nearly a century of data.

Except it is unexpected, if you ask basically 90% of realtors, and the vast majority of analysts following the housing market, untill… well basically right now.

The whole schtick is that houses prices always go up, never down, that price growth may slow but never actually go negative.

I pointed this out to my other reply to you, but uh yeah, the fundamentals have been blaring more and more warning signs for years, but perception is key, so the vast majority of people who report market projections are incentivized to paint a far too rosy picture…

… And then reality becomes too difficult to ignore, and perceptions shift rapidly.

Zillow, a month ago, was projecting a modest, nationwide growth of 0.8%.

Now, a month later, Trump actually does the stuff he repeatedly said he was going to do, but the market just assumed he was either bullshitting or had a more robust and thought out plan…

And suddenly the delusions are eviscerated, and a month later, 0.8% gets moved downward -2.5% to a -1.7% projection.

These people did not see this coming until it smacked them in the face.

Almost no one was projecting an actual decline, publically, untill very recently, and if you were projecting a decline 6 months ago, you would have either been dismissed or laughed at by the experts.

Yes.

The bubble pops when the price growth stops, and goes negative.

‘The bubble’ is basically the idea that prices just keep going up forever.

Based on that idea, financing, loans, leverage happens.

When the fundamentals no longer represent the bubble mindset, everyone whose personal budgets or business relies on prices just going upward, forever, are now margin squeezed, and potentially margin called depending on how overleveraged they are… because you based your ability to pay the debt on your loans you used to purchase the property… on the idea that your property and thus rent prices would just keep going up.

Now, your property is actually worth less, and thus so is the amount of rent you can charge… but your debt payments are still the same.

You hold out as long as you can, but all around you other property owners are cutting their losses and selling at lower property values, which further reinforces the idea that your own property isn’t worth the rent you are charging for it.

EDIT:

There are a lot of underlying fundamentals that drove Zillow’s projection, which are broadly addressed in the article.

But it is also worth mentioning that a single month ago, Zillow was projecting a modest 0.8% growth for the year forward.

Then Trump decided to greatly aggrevate the economic situation, and things downturned so fast that 0.8% growth turned into -1.7%.

The fundamentals have been building up to a breaking point for a while now, huge inventory numbers, much more time on market till a sale, sellers offering many kinds of concessions, significant lossess in the stock prices of major homebuildets…

But then Trump did the Tariff nonsense, and also decided to deport all the brown people to a gulag, cause an overt constitutional crisis, and destroy the USD as the de facto world currency… and in doing all thjs, he essentially popped the bubble himself.

Trumps actions in one month shifted the growth projections for a whole year by -2.5%.

A nearly 50% drop in booked global TEUs?

TEU means Twenty Foot Equivalent Units, your basic standard shipping container.

Yes, yes, this is astoundingly, apocalyptically bad.

America will be more fucked than others, but this is Great Depression 2.0.

If this persists, and you end up with a the rest of the year of roughly half the TEU… well you’d go from about 900m TEU to about 550m TEU.

The last time global sea trade clocked in at about 550m TEU was 2010.

https://transportgeography.org/contents/chapter5/intermodal-transportation-containerization/world-container-throughput/

So… yeah, just wipe out the last 15 years worth of volume of world trade, and economic activity/growth enabled by that, and oh also you have about 1 billion more mouths to feed than in 2010.

Or… if you look at it in terms of % change… its hard to find detailed, historical, week by week figures without paying for the data, but the entirety of the GFC hitting the global economy in 2009 resulted in an 8.5% decrease in global TEU from 2008.

So… it remains to be seen how long and strong the current downturn in TEU will persist…

But, if you say 2025 TEU drops by 30% in aggregate for the rest of this year… that is a 2025 that has a -22.5% ‘growth’ in total world trade volume, almost 3x as bad as the 07 08 09 GFC, the impact of which was seen in the -8.5% of 2009.

These are spitball guess numbers, I can’t predict the future… but I do have a degree in Econ and I used to work as an executive level data analyst for a large mulinational, US based import export firm… so its moderately informed spitball guess.

This is Great Depression 2.0, this will make the GFC look like childs play. This is tens or hundreds of millions of people (globally) going broke, becoming homeless, starving to death levels of bad.

The only way to prevent that at this point is … well basically step one is America needs to impeach and imprison every Trump administration member… but that is uh… not guaranteed, to say the least.

For me, the image of this post… is like… a crying, clipart style cartoon soccer ball, that is animated in a few frames of a radial series of dots filling up around the soccer ball, and then when the dots circle the entire soccer ball, it like… jumps, and makes a more pained, cartoon expression.

Maybe this is some very weird glitch or quirk on my end, or results from the particular lemmy browser app I am using? (Thunder)

It has stayed this way for almost 2 days now, I am not hallucinating lol, but apparently no one else is seeing this?

What if Hegseth is driving this particular bus, but Petey needs Trump to blow on the interlock device so that he can actually start thr ignition?

Whiskey Leaks 2: The Tippsyening

That certainly is the logic they use when they cruise around with Stingray devices in their cruisers that honeypot/MiTM every single 4g/5g/Wifi drevice in a 100m+ radius.

iF yOu hAvE nOThInG to HiDE yOU HavE nOtHInG toO WoRRy abOUt

They’re climbing up from B6 to B2 or B1 lol.

Every ‘goal’ my family gave me and then forced me into pursuing?

Sure, they praised me when I accomplished those things.

Every goal I actually chose for myself, and achieved?

At best, absolutely no help of any kind when I’d ask them for help, general constant dissuasion and negging, and then after I achieve those goals, massive, massive passive aggressive jealously and constant belittling.

I now live several states away, don’t communicate with them, and have finally been able to establish a sense of self, and self-esteem, based around my own assesment of what are good traits and goals, instead of basing them on trying to please incompetent bullies.

…

If your goals are, as you say in another post, learning how to make a vidro game, learning to draw, learning basic programming/web design…

These are literally all goals that pretty much most people with sufficient spare time and diligence could figure out the basics of and even become decently competent at with a few years of time… not even in a formal education setting, though that could likely help.

Your goals are extremely reasonable, your family is being ridiculous.

Are you guaranteed to become wealthy via pursuit of these goals? No, of course not.

But you aren’t guaranteed that in most other careers or lines of work either.

If you don’t already have gobs of money and/or influential connections… chances are, you never will.

Unless you are like abadoning a fairly solid career path that you’re already significantly time/money invested in, and just completely abandoning all means of keeping yourself able to eat and sleep indoors for the full time pursuit of hobbies…

Then no, there’s nothing wrong with wanting to learn more skills.