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Joined 18 days ago
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Cake day: January 12th, 2025

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  • If anything, so far at least, Biden’s crimes vastly, vastly outweigh Trump’s in regards to Gaza. Trump is threatening, but still hasn’t yet, deported protesters. Biden is complicit in the deaths of tens of thousands of innocent people. Trump, admittedly through crooked means, actually managed to get a cease fire passed.

    It’s possible that in the future Trump’s crimes will outstrip Biden’s. But Trump promises a lot of things that never actually end up happening. He says he would like to ethnically cleanse Gaza, but until he actually follows through on that, Biden’s crime in regards to Gaza are objectively far, far worse than Trump’s. Trump has the potential to eventually end up the greater villain. But right now, on January 30 2025, in terms of Gaza, Biden objectively has a far worse record than Trump.

    You’re judging the two men based on Trump’s rhetoric, bluster, and what he might do. The people you’re reacting to are judging Biden based on the things he actually did, not the things he promised to do.









  • And it’s not like it’s easy for a trans woman to get into a woman’s prison anyway. The vast majority of trans women were already held in male prisons. This order affects mostly people who have all their legal documents changed, have been on hormones for years, and have had surgery. You’re talking about people that if you met them on the street, you would assume they were cis women. Hell, you would suspect they were cis women if you saw them on a nude beach. Before this executive order, you pretty much had to be that far in transition before you would be allowed to serve your time in a women’s prison.

    Also, hormones for trans people aren’t just about psychological well being. If you’re post-bottom surgery, your body doesn’t produce sex hormones anymore. A post-op trans women needs to take estrogen, not just for her own psychological well being, but for basic metabolic functioning. Being without sex hormones causes all sorts of medical problems, such as rapid early onset osteoporosis.

    The BOP is telling trans women, “because of my religion, we’re going to melt your bones.”






  • It’s not about hampering proliferation, it’s about breaking the hype bubble. Some of the western AI companies have been pitching to have hundreds of billions in federal dollars devoted to investing in new giant AI models and the gigawatts of power needed to run them. They’ve been pitching a Manhattan Project scale infrastructure build out to facilitate AI, all in the name of national security.

    You can only justify that kind of federal intervention if it’s clear there’s no other way. And this story here shows that the existing AI models aren’t operating anywhere near where they could be in terms of efficiency. Before we pour hundreds of billions into giant data center and energy generation, it would behoove us to first extract all the gains we can from increased model efficiency. The big players like OpenAI haven’t even been pushing efficiency hard. They’ve just been vacuuming up ever greater amounts of money to solve the problem the big and stupid way - just build really huge data centers running big inefficient models.




  • There are many clear use cases that are solid, so AI is here to stay, that’s for certain. But how far can it go, and what will it require is what the market is gambling on.

    I would disagree on that. There are a few niche uses, but OpenAI can’t even make a profit charging $200/month.

    The uses seem pretty minimal as far as I’ve seen. Sure, AI has a lot of applications in terms of data processing, but the big generic LLMs propping up companies like OpenAI? Those seems to have no utility beyond slop generation.

    Ultimately the market value of any work produced by a generic LLM is going to be zero.


  • How to address superintelligence, if that is actually something we realistically face:

    1. Make creating an unlicensed AI with over a certain threshold to be a capital offense.

    2. Regulate the field of artificial intelligence as heavily as we do nuclear science and nuclear weapons development.

    3. Have strict international treaties on model size and capability limitations.

    4. Have inspection regimes in place to allow international monitoring of any electricity usage over a certain threshold.

    5. Use satellites to track anomalous large power use across the globe (monitored via waste heat) and thoroughly investigate any large unexplained energy use.

    6. Target the fabs. High powered chips should be licensed and tracked like nuclear materials.

    7. Make clear that a nuclear first strike is a perfectly acceptable response to a nation state trying to create AGI.

    Anyone who says this technology simply cannot be regulated is a fool. We’re talking models that require hundreds of megawatts or more to run and giant data centers full of millions of dollars worth of chips. There’s only a handful of companies on the planet producing the hardware for these systems. The idea that we can’t regulate such a thing is ridiculous.

    I’m sorry, but I put the survival of the human race above your silly science project. If I have to put every person on this planet with a degree in computer science into a hole in the ground to save the human race, that is a sacrifice I am willing to make. Hell, I’ll go full Dune and outlaw computers all together, go back to pen and paper for everything, before I condone AGI.

    We can’t control this technology? Balderdash. It’s created by human beings. And human beings can be killed.

    So, how do we deal with ASI? You put anyone trying to create it deep in the ground. This is self defense at a species level. Sacrificing a few thousand madmen who think they’re going to summon a benevolent god to serve them is simple self-defense. It’s OK to kill cultists who are trying to summon a demon.