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Joined 2 months ago
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Cake day: July 2nd, 2025

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  • Not good, but not something that makes me immediately want to move

    Okay… I didn’t realize we’re talking about your personal tolerance of it, as long as you’re okay with it I guess the numbers aren’t staggering.

    We aren’t talking about overall life expectancy, we’re talking about excess child mortality. COVID affected children the least, remember.

    I feel more threatened by other things like accelerating global warming.

    You can have multiple concerns, you really don’t have to champion just one issue and attack all others. Recall your objections and the whole argument we’re having is because you’re insisting the article is editorializing 54 excess child deaths a day by calling it staggering. Would you complain the same way about an article describing the average annual increase of global temperature as staggering?



  • See? You’re arguing over a word without bothering to read the article or understand the statistic.

    The question “what is N” doesn’t make sense here. Excess child deaths doesn’t mean we expect N deaths and are okay with that…

    Let me explain:

    1. Take the actual U.S. child deaths.

    2. Compute a counterfactual N* = how many would have died if the U.S. had the same age-specific child mortality rates as peer rich countries.

    3. Excess = Actual − N*. It’s the avoidable difference, not an acceptable target.

    That’s why the piece says ~316,000 excess child deaths (≈54 per day) from 2007–2022, those are deaths above what we’d expect if U.S. kids had peer-country risk.

    And if you want scale: U.S. kids weren’t a few percent worse off. In 2014 they were ~1.6× more likely to die than peers; by 2022 it was ~2.3×—that’s 60% to 130% higher risk, not “a factor of 20,” but nowhere near “just a little bit” either. It’s staggering!

    If a toy number helps: suppose peers have 25 deaths per 100k children in a year and the U.S. has ~58 per 100k. Apply those rates to the U.S. child population and you’d “expect” ~N* at the peer rate but observe far more; the gap between them is the excess. The study’s bottom line is that this gap averaged ~54 preventable child deaths every day over 16 years.

    In other words, the US is a third world country.









  • Buddy, the US is quickly becoming a third world country. Yes, mass school shooting are normalized but that’s the symptom not the root problem.

    nor help with their problems

    See? You identified it yourself. Universal healthcare that includes quality mental health care that isn’t driven by profit is the solution to the listed problems, I’m not sure why they listed drugs and failed to recognize healthcare as the solution that too, but people turn to drugs to drown the depression they can’t treat in a healthy way.