The anti-Islam, euroskeptic radical Geert Wilders is projected to be the shock winner of the Dutch election.

In a dramatic result that will stun European politics, his Freedom Party (PVV) is set to win around 35 of the 150 seats in parliament — more than double the number it secured in the 2021 election, according to exit polls.

Frans Timmermans’ Labour-Green alliance is forecast to take second place, winning 25 seats — a big jump from its current 17. Dilan Yeşilgöz, outgoing premier Mark Rutte’s successor as head of the center-right VVD, suffered heavy losses and is on course to take 24 seats, 10 fewer than before, according to the updated exit poll by Ipsos for national broadcaster NOS.

A win for Wilders will put the Netherlands on track — potentially — for a dramatic shift in direction, after Rutte’s four consecutive centrist governments. The question now, though, is whether any other parties are willing to join Wilders to form a coalition. Despite emerging as the largest party, he will lack an overall majority in parliament.

  • Fades@lemmy.world
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    8 months ago

    the world is falling to fascism. Fuck this goddamn planet just smite us already jesus fucking christ

    • WolfhoundRO@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      If the conservatives want for Jesus to come down himself to smite us, THIS is how they will get them to come down himself to smite us. I hate how this happens

    • Woht24@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      I don’t think it’s a phase in the short term unfortunately. The world shifted too far into PC culture, ‘acceptance’ to the point of segregating anyone with a differing opinion, cancelling anyone with an accusation against them prior to any sort of conviction etc and I really think it just pushed all the people who were quietly racist/sexist/whateverist to a point they are loud and standing up for what they think is right. It’s created a shift of what you can and can’t say backwards and suddenly a lot of people who still hold these opinions albeit very frowned upon felt empowered by seeing their opinions on TV, internet etc and began to speak up.

      Just seems like the world is doomed to run in a cycle. I think it’s going to get a lot worse before it gets better.

  • theinspectorst@kbin.social
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    8 months ago

    Geert Wilder wins Dutch election

    35 of the 150 seats in parliament

    Let’s please stop using FPTP language to describe very non-FPTP systems and outcomes.

    • SuddenDownpour@sh.itjust.works
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      8 months ago

      We have had to stand months of the Spanish opposition leader saying he “has won the election” because he leads the most voted party, even though it was impossible for him to form a coalition that would give him the government (the other right wing parties are either centralist, decentralist or independentist, and will veto each other). Even some international media bought this narrative and eagerly presented the idea that there was going to be a change of government.

    • SkepticalButOpenMinded@lemmy.ca
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      8 months ago

      Agreed “win” is too simplistic. Still good shot at forming government though. I’m not familiar with the Dutch system, but, even in systems with proportional representation, the plurality winner usually gets first shot at forming government, and by convention usually does form government. They need 76 seats to govern and are more than halfway there with 37.

      • Aux@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        I don’t know how the Dutch system works, but some time ago a pro-Russian party won like 30-40% of seats in Latvia, but every other party joined together against them. And they couldn’t do shit even though they had the biggest number of seats. If it’s not 50%+1 - it doesn’t matter.

  • ThatFembyWho@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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    8 months ago

    Wilders wants to ban mosques

    That’s cool, as long as we ban churches, cathedrals, synagogues, and temples at the same time.

    I really didnt know this guy was still around, he hasn’t been making the world headlines so much in recent years.

    • Darkblue@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      Don’t worry, the headline is too sensational. (Which is a pet peeve of mine anyway: headlines should be objective. I can make up my own mind please)

      He didn’t win a majority. He won’t form a goverment. If he does, he will be powerless in the coalition. If he does get to make laws, they won’t pass the senate (called “1ste kamer” in NL). And if he does, the government will fall anyway (which is a Dutch tradition anyway).

      So a lot of ‘outs’ :)

      No worries!

      • qevlarr@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        Only your last one seems valid. Dutch coalitions aren’t very stable. The only stable factor of the last 12 years has recently left politics.

        The question is indeed who is willing to form a coalition government. The most likely option is PVV (far right), VVD (neoliberal), and NSC (Christian democrats), of the latter can convince their voters they can accept the far right.

        • Darkblue@lemmy.world
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          8 months ago

          Not very stable indeed. Since ‘Kok’ (2002!), NL has had 1 cabinet come to full term (Rutte II I believe). In 21 years 8 goverments. 1 full term of 4 years, so 7 in 17 years. Elections every 2,5 years on average :/

          But hey, at least NL is not Belgium :D

    • johan@feddit.nl
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      8 months ago

      Things have been going shit here actually, and blaming minorities for a country’s problems is still a surefire way to win votes. As a dutch person I’m sad, embarrassed, and scared.

    • Lols [they/them]@lemm.ee
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      8 months ago

      the Netherlands has been on a steady decline, and housing especially has been a massive issue

      the netherlands is a good country because we are still benefitting off of our past, but we are not improving

    • Kusimulkku@lemm.ee
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      8 months ago

      This is happening because things haven’t been going well. Same can be seen all over Europe. Shit times and whether for a good reason or not, immigration issues have become a big issue in the minds of the people. Established moderate parties have avoided addressing that issue and that’s why far-right parties, who keep banging on about being strict on immigration and immigrants, keep winning a bigger share.

      Moderates are handing far-right votes by ignoring what people are concerned about. I know it’s a dilemma to parties who don’t consider it an issue (do you really want to go in on an issue you don’t believe is an issue), but people think it’s an issue and feel like they aren’t being heard.

    • Ab_intra@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      Good question. But honestly you just got to look at history for the answer. Far-right extremism often do better when it’s hard times like we have right now.

    • Lauchs@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      Far right extremists claim easy solutions to complex problems. With housing etc pricea going through the roof it’s easy to demonize foreigners etc.

      Look what happened in Germany with hyper inflation.

      • SuckMyWang@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        If you look at the projections for muslims living throughout Europe over the next 30 years with current levels of immigration you can see there will be a Muslim majority in many parts of Europe. I’m not saying that’s a problem necessarily but it will be a big cultural shift if that takes place. There is some concern that many muslims have followed their holy doctrine in moving towards sharia law. I’m not trying to be islamaphopic it’s just quite difficult to discern between the muslims who want to live in peace and live a western lifestyle and those who want to live under sharia law and those who want to live under some hybrid system and what that might look like. These are the outcomes whether you want to accept it or not. Yes it’s complex and difficult.

    • tomatopathe@sh.itjust.works
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      8 months ago

      This is the first generation with worse prospects than the previous one. Wealth inequality is growing, and robber barons are back. Climate change is making any prospects even worse.

      Combine that with a communication revolution (social media, to be exact) which allows anyone to pretty much target anyone else with any message they feel like, means disinformation pushing narratives is everywhere. And not to forget, there people in charge of these platforms are among the aforementioned robber barons.

      It’s easy to offer simple solutions to these problems and push disinformation to people who don’t have the knowledge, time or energy to debunk everything and think deeply about things, since they’re busy slaving away to put food on their tables, struggling to build a future, and looking for solutions. And simple answers give people a sense of control or explanation over their difficult situation.

      It’s why I have completely removed myself from every social media platform there is, except this one and I’m only on here intermittently.

      • TokenBoomer@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        It seems you are more equipped to deal with the disinformation on social media than most of us. Although I understand the desire to step away from the fray, a mind like yours is sorely needed in times like this.

        • tomatopathe@sh.itjust.works
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          8 months ago

          That is not true unfortunately. I tend to be very left wing socially - economically I’m more left of center - and that was reflected on my social media as well - either pushing me towards more radical content or stoking anger with more radical right wing content to get me riled up and coming back for more.

          I ended up with a growing hatred and emnity for a growing number of people and “groups”, and black and white thinking. Even though I was aware that I was being manipulated, it was still impossible to sit on a high horse above the fray.

          It’s quite easy to manipulate human minds, even ones that are careful and aware. We can all be manipulated. It’s why advertising works, for example.

          The only thing to do really is to not play that game. Avoid advertising, avoid other content curators deciding what you get to see and telling you how to reason, etc… realise that most people are empathetic, that most people want what’s best, and those that are radical have been manipulated to be that way, sadly.

      • fromagemangeur@mander.xyz
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        8 months ago

        True, but the generation that tends to vote far right is the boomer generation - it’s the generation that failed to pass on rising prosperity and gave us the climate crisis.

          • Skies5394@lemmy.ml
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            8 months ago

            Do we know why? For Americans, I can see the nihilism of the grunge era affecting the latter part of that group, and possibly having a lasting effect towards political compass.

            But I can’t think of a reason of the top of my head for European millennials driving so deep into that side of politics.

    • Diplomjodler@feddit.de
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      8 months ago

      More like “politics of being to dumb to see further than the tip of if my own nose”.

  • pan_troglodytes@programming.dev
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    8 months ago

    what does that mean for policy changes in the Netherlands? without parliamentary majority, can he make any real changes?

  • atthecoast@feddit.nl
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    8 months ago

    Government has been ignoring voters for years, executing a globalist agenda and forcing the worlds strictest environmental policies. This created a populist undercurrent that’s now surfacing.

    • strider@feddit.nl
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      8 months ago

      Bullshit, over half the people voted on the government at all times. “Globalist agenda” is conspiracy nut territory and the environmental policies that were introduced over the years don’t do shit.

      Y’all are just fascists.